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The Wall Street Journal’s Future of Finance Initiative

April 6th, 2009 · 5 Comments

On March 23-24, I participated in the Wall Street Journal sponsored “Future of Finance Initiative” in Washington, D.C. Initially conceived to be a forum of financial experts to develop recommendations to the Obama Administration to help define the future of the financial system in this country (post the financial crisis), participants quickly modified the agenda to combine suggestions for dealing with the still occurring crises and the financial markets going forward. The results of the work of the 86 invited experts was published in the March 30th Wall Street Journal. Prior to publication, the forum presented their recommendations in a White House briefing with Larry Summers, the President’s Assistant for Economic Policy and Director, National Economic Council.

While it was clear that time did not allow for the development of a comprehensive road map, the participants were able to reach consensus on 20 recommendations, many of which either echoed programs already underway or elaborated on them. This was no easy accomplishment considering the widely diverse points of view represented. In fact, one participant actually abstained from the voting on recommendations presumably out of protest. The wide-ranging group consisted of some of the titans of Wall Street, such as Arthur Levitt, former Head of the SEC; Paul Volcker, Chairman of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board; Gary Cohn, President of Goldman Sachs; and Damon Silvers, Associate General Counsel, AFL-CIO. Nevertheless, everyone checked their egos at the door and there were sincere efforts by all participants to take the challenge seriously and to try to help the nation’s financial system recover and progress in the future.

Personally, I found the experience to be the most intellectually and interesting in my 40 years in financial services and I was honored to be invited. More importantly, I hope that the result of the forum efforts will help the Administration with the vast array of issues needed to be resolved to stabilize the current economic crisis and to lay a foundation of controls and regulations that will prevent a reoccurrence in the future.

While it is not possible to recount all 20 recommendations in this newsletter, some interesting points can be shared. First, although many of the participants represented investment firms, banks, and broker/dealers as well as regulators of Wall Street, they were quick to suggest financial system improvements to reduce systemic risk that required more regulation of themselves. This objectivity was refreshing and appropriate and recommendations included:

  • Improving disclosure, regulation and transparency from non-bank financial institutions, especially those involved in over-the-counter derivatives markets;
  • The reform of rating agencies to eliminate the current environment of self-dealing and to compensate such agencies on their track record of success;
  • Limiting the concentration of leverage across large systemically important financial institutions, through the use of capital and other controls;
  • Developing a set of accounting rules that are pro-cyclical and to establish the Federal Reserve as the Systemic Risk Regulator of banking as well as non-bank financial institutions;
  • Bolstering the FDIC with sufficient capital to ensure that all potential liabilities from bank failures are covered, and so that the public is reassured of the safety of their bank deposits;
  • Allowing the Government to limit executive compensation in firms in which they and the public have a substantial economic interest;
  • Strengthening the credit underwriting standards of financial institutions, and empowering and training regulators to enforce the standards;
  • Streamlining the current regulatory architecture to make regulation more effective and consistent across all financial services industries and to eliminate regulatory arbitrage;
  • Developing more effective and encompassing programs to limit and eventually forestall foreclosures such as more liberal and creative programs such as rent to own, principal reductions, loan modifications, for financially responsible Americans;
  • Enhancing collateral requirements on over-the-counter derivatives and capital requirements for sponsors of credit default swaps; and
  • Creating clearinghouses to enhance the transparency for standardized credit default swap contracts.

Since time did not allow for the development of the specifics guidelines, controls, and implementation plans for these and other suggestions, consideration is being given by the Wall Street Journal, forum participants and the Administration to continue the dialogue in the future. I hope to be invited to participate again and to lend my voice to the current concerns as well as my ideas to improve the ability of Americans to rebuild their retirement savings.

Surprisingly, there was no consensus on the inclusion of changing the mark-to-mark approach under FASB 157 for the evaluation of the securitized mortgage market, although there was heated debate over this issue. Following the event, however, I was glad to see the administration and FASB modify their position, and allowing banks t establish a value for these assets based on what they would be worth in an “orderly” market and not a “distressed” market. It is viewed by many, although diverging from the “free market” philosophy, that this nevertheless pragmatic change will allow banks to shore up their balance sheets, reduce their need for capital, and lead to the unlocking of credit markets. Unfortunately, however, as of this weekend, the government is still not acting on our recommendation to allow banks to return TARP money. Some 15 recipient banks desire to return all their TARP money, and they are willing to prepay all interest, but the government is refusing. The government’s position is not very clear, and we hope it will allow banks, that are capable, to return public funds in the very near future. Even more disturbing is the alleged coercion of one bank CEO who indicated to the media that even though his bank had no sub-prime mortgages nor derivatives, that he would see a public audit by the FDIC unless he agreed to take Government funds. That is scary, folks.

One remaining concern is the status of the derivatives markets. It is estimated that there are $186 trillion in bank derivatives. Continued decline in the strength of banks could force this market to freeze, a situation which could be disastrous. That’s why it is so important to strengthen the banks, so they are able to meet their obligations to each other.

Finally, I have to point out that there was no recommendation by the forum to put the G20 in the position of controlling the U.S. financial system. Our recommendation was to create a super regulator, like the Federal Reserve, to regulate all financial markets. I am pretty certain, that there would have been little support for what the Administration agreed to in the G20 meetings-that is, to allow member nations to have oversight of our markets. How or if this plays out will be an issue to reckon with.

Overall, I perceived a sincere sense of purpose and the recognition within the forum of the need for regulatory reform, refinement, and the application of ongoing sophisticated systemic science so that a similar crisis does not reoccur. I am personally proud of almost single-handedly championing the inclusion of foreclosure reform from the approximately 80 suggestions originally drafted, to the final twenty. I feel strongly that continued foreclosures will not only displace more Americans, but will continue to erode the value of the securitized mortgage market, exasperating the credit freeze, requiring more government intervention and deficit-financing and leading to more joblessness. While there is a consensus that not all Americans will be eligible for relief, I feel there is a need to stem the tide of foreclosures for responsible Americans, many of whom, were duped by fraudulent mortgage brokers. Besides, there is no upside when someone in foreclosed on. Both borrower and lender are adversely affected, as is the overall economy. Furthermore, the efforts of the committee that deal with the socio-economic aspects of the financial crisis, if acted upon, should help heal the current cleavage between Main Street and Wall Street, by providing a sense of order and control that will restore U.S. consumer and global confidence in the American financial system.

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Tags: Alternative Investments · PENSCO Trust Company · Reverse Mortgages · economy · loans · mortgage · mortgages

5 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Faisal Sublaban // Apr 9, 2009 at 8:30 am

    I agree and don’t understand why the government has taken on the stance of not allowing the return of TARP money from whom ever would like to return it. The influx of additional capital, in the billions, could be used in other manners such as increased preventative methods of foreclosures. Of course there is the whole loss of control issue that comes from allowing the banks to return the funds.

  • 2 Brian McNeill // Apr 11, 2009 at 6:47 pm

    Hi. My name is Brian McNeill and I am a real estate investor. I deal primarily with Short Sales and REOs. I fix up houses and provide very affordable housing and try to improve neighborhoods and provide work to contractors and builders who are struggling in these desperate times. I think what PENSCO is doing is something that real estate investors like myself and people who want REAL returns on thier money have been looking forward to for a very long time. They are bringing us together and are creating an environment where the possibilities are endless. The real estate market has never been better to invest than it is right now. You may say to yourself “the market stinks right now….no one is buying” That is, no one is buying at market value. I am acquiring houses anywhere from 40 - 60 cents on the dollar through short sales and REOs. That means I can fix them up and re-sell them way below market value and still make a very good return. I never hold on to a house more than 6 - 9 months.
    What I am looking for is someone who wants to make 10 -25% return on thier money and all transactions will be secured by real estate. I will present the deals and you will invest in the acquisition and rehab of the project. After it is sold I will pay 10 -25% on your money. It’s that simple. You invest $200,000 and about 6 - 9 months later (after the property is sold) I will pay you back $250,000. Now matter how great the market is you will never be able to get this kind of return on your money.
    The time is now and I look forward to speaking with anyone willing to take advantage of this offer. I can be reached at:
    914-584-9471 (days)
    646-739-0947 (days)
    845-278-0422 (eves after 8:00 P.M.)
    mcneill721@comcast.net

  • 3 Laurie Morgan // Apr 16, 2009 at 3:32 pm

    Tom,

    Thanks for this post and also for the brief talk you gave about your participation in the FoF conference in Greenbrae earlier this month. I really enjoyed hearing what you had to say — and, gave you a plug on Sterling Pacific Financial’s blog as well (http://www.sterlpac.com/blog). It was refreshing (and illuminating) to hear your comments about intervening as a way of heading off further credit problems (rather than just a hand-out). My view is that the flood of foreclosures we’re experiencing is not an efficient, market-clearing event in true sense, because the decoupling of mortgage lending and servicing (and securitization) has made information flow inefficient and created perverse incentives. The example you shared about one of your own employees was most illuminating.

  • 4 David Safeer // Jun 1, 2009 at 8:18 am

    Tom-

    Thank you for participating in this forum. It is good to know that people representing private enterprise and individuals are including in these types of forums and that the president’s advisors are taking note.

    This may not have been the right forum to include this topic, but I am very concerned that individual responsibility did not come up as a key concern. Perhaps the topic would have been consumer education and full disclosure.

    My concern is this: Let’s suppose that there was complete transparency, that underwriting was fixed so fraud was avoided, that the credit agencies’ standards were corrected, etc. If a financial institution offers a product, shouldn’t the consumer take some responsibility for understanding their commitment to repay a loan? Should the borrower take the time to understand the terms and conditions?

    Here are some suggestions to help the consumer:
    1. Contracts with a minimum type 10 pt type font, 12 would be better
    2. Plain English contracts with a reading level no higher than 10th grade (average reading level is lower than this)
    3. Contracts available 3-5 business days before a closing. Loans take 30-60 days to close so why are the contracts presented at closing, when everyone is rushed, there is a feeling of finality and pressure to close the deal, and often no advisors around other than a loan officer and real estate agent, both of whom have significant financial incentives for the loan to to close.
    4. If it is a variable rate loan with a cap, that the maximum monthly payment be the payment clearly committed to up front. Anything lower is a bonus. This way the borrower knows that he/she is on the line for $2,000 a month, not $500. The maximum loan amount currently is in the fine print and in the middle or end of contracts.

    There are many other things that could be done on the consumer level to help consumers. How about a consumer literacy test? What about a first time home buyer not only budget for a house payment (often advertised as lower than rent) to the real cost of home ownership: insurance, repairs, maintenance, upkeep, etc.?

    Again, thanks for attending the forum. Perhaps you know of initiatives to educate and inform the consumers and make them more responsible for their own decisions.

    David Safeer
    dsafeer.blogspot.com

  • 5 The Wall Street Journal’s Future of Finance Initiative | Self-Directed IRA Investing « Self-Directed Alliance // Sep 13, 2009 at 9:14 am

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